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Trump’s Lead Over Biden Grew Again After the E. Jean Carroll Verdict.

Donald Trump has maintained his lead over Joe Biden nationally in the latest Morning Consult poll, with a particularly strong 12-point lead over the incumbent among Independents. The data comes on the back of the E. Jean Carroll verdict against Trump, wherein a Manhattan jury awarded the advice columnist a whopping $83M.

Overall support for Trump stands at 44 percent, while support for Biden stands at 42 percent — a slight narrowing of the gap since the last Morning Consult poll.

Trump’s lead among Independents is much stronger, however. His share of Independent support had increased by four points to 42 percent, while Biden’s share of Independent support languishes at just 30 percent, far behind his predecessor despite a two-point bump.

Contrary to the claims of Trump’s GOP rival Nimarata ‘Nikki’ Haley, the survey also suggests he is the “more electable” of the two. This is due to “a significant appetite among Republicans for a third-party vote in the event of a Biden-Nikki Haley matchup — especially in battleground states.”

The 45th President continues to dominate Haley in primary polling, 81 percent to 18 percent.

NATIONAL POLL: Morning Consult

Trump: 44% [-1]
Biden: 42% [+2]

Trump: 42% [+4]
Biden: 30% [+2]

R. Primary
Trump: 81% [=]
Haley: 18% [=]

[Change vs January 21]

6,487 RV (Pres) | 4,044 R’s | 1/26-28

— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) January 29, 2024

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